Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.044749 0.048796 0.052907 0.057390 0.062133 0.066994 0.072346
2024-12-22 0.039419 0.045435 0.051777 0.058932 0.066754 0.075019 0.084384
2024-12-29 0.034786 0.042192 0.050262 0.059646 0.070196 0.081628 0.094891
2025-01-05 0.031045 0.039480 0.048958 0.060281 0.073324 0.087768 0.104858
2025-01-12 0.027321 0.036394 0.046892 0.059757 0.074914 0.092031 0.112643
2025-01-19 0.024955 0.034660 0.046188 0.060630 0.077976 0.097888 0.122218
2025-01-26 0.022269 0.032281 0.044493 0.060130 0.079266 0.101584 0.129230
2025-02-02 0.020321 0.030651 0.043559 0.060416 0.081391 0.106192 0.137281
2025-02-09 0.018996 0.029703 0.043376 0.061545 0.084480 0.111921 0.146668
2025-02-16 0.018394 0.029652 0.044295 0.064032 0.089240 0.119689 0.158559
2025-02-23 0.016039 0.027025 0.041693 0.061866 0.088057 0.120112 0.161485
2025-03-02 0.014486 0.025399 0.040310 0.061184 0.088666 0.122680 0.166990
2025-03-09 0.013127 0.023981 0.039167 0.060806 0.089694 0.125839 0.173353
2025-03-16 0.012711 0.023934 0.039911 0.062964 0.094047 0.133239 0.185082
2025-03-23 0.011983 0.023354 0.039859 0.064016 0.096942 0.138809 0.194571
2025-03-30 0.011250 0.022710 0.039673 0.064850 0.099536 0.144003 0.203623
2025-04-06 0.010221 0.021507 0.038602 0.064389 0.100349 0.146880 0.209734
2025-04-13 0.009657 0.021023 0.038561 0.065358 0.103089 0.152265 0.219077
2025-04-20 0.008774 0.019926 0.037532 0.064857 0.103779 0.154948 0.224946
2025-04-27 0.008158 0.019239 0.037090 0.065174 0.105574 0.159079 0.232697
2025-05-04 0.007788 0.018960 0.037260 0.066373 0.108592 0.164839 0.242593
2025-05-11 0.007750 0.019279 0.038381 0.068998 0.113638 0.173346 0.256139
2025-05-18 0.006707 0.017639 0.036278 0.066718 0.111693 0.172436 0.257302